To summarize in few words,
is the key object,
is a computing trick and
is nothing. That fact is especially
apparent when using the repairman's paradigm to illustrate the importance
sampling method [1]. Nothing useful can be done by observing
a reduced availability chain instead of the original one (for example,
by reducing
to
as in FIG. 5).
Conversely, conditioning properties that allow variance reduction
are obtained when considering the repairing chains, as it appears
from a comparison between FIG. 4 and FIG. 6.
The M/D repairman, provides a model easily tractable nowadays, with the growth in power of the formal computing tools and that model is especially useful to detect confusions between individual probabilities, obtained by an uniform sorting over a discrete chain, and the temporal probabilities, obtained by an uniform sorting over the continuous time.