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4 INTERMEANS PARAMETER PROPERTIES

4.1 A measure of the dispersion

The intermeans parameter has some similarity with the interquartile range, where one subtracts the median of the left hand part from the median of the right hand part, both parts being separated by the median of the population. Here we use the means and subtract the mean of the left part from the mean of the right part, both parts being separated by the mean of the population, the result being afterwards multiplied by maths. Therefore maths appears to be a measure of the dispersion of the distribution.

From now on, all maths are relative to the mean, and subscripts will be omitted. It can be seen that maths and maths. Therefore, the points maths are ever situated as in Figure 3 and the relation maths holds.

Fig. 3: Meaning of maths : the maths property
maths

4.2 Relations with the usual standard deviation

Since using maths to describe the dispersion seems to be new, we have undertaken a comparison between this parameter and the usual one, namely the standard deviation maths. For any distribution, we have:

maths

equality occurring only for the two Dirac's distributions, i.e. those defined by maths. In Table 1, the ratio maths is given for various distributions.


Tab. 1: Comparison between maths and maths

distribution      maths
maths (exact) (approx)
two Dirac's maths maths
lognormal maths maths
uniform maths maths
triangular 1/maths maths
normal maths maths
exponential 1/e maths


It could be noticed that the ratio maths is quite the same for all triangular distributions, whatever their skewness. For the lognormal distribution, the ratio maths varies. For the wildest ones, i.e. for maths, one has maths. But, in the practical cases, i.e. when the demand has only one chance over thousand to go outside the interval maths, the relation maths holds.

4.3 Sampling properties

In order to extract maths from historical data, the sampling distribution of this parameter must be described, and compared with the sampling distribution of the variance. Let maths be a maths-sized sample, obtained by maths independent random drawings from the distribution maths.

It is well-known that maths is biased, while maths verifies:

maths

where maths is the fourth centered moment. Defining maths as maths times the squared coefficient of variation of the estimator maths, we obtain:

maths (9)

We haven't yet obtained such general formulae when estimating the intermeans parameter. Let us now describe our partial results.

The first point is that the quantity maths is well defined, even if some points of the sample are near or equal to the sample mean maths. If it happens that maths, you can split at will maths into a "left part" and a "right part" according to maths and ever obtain: maths.

Exact results have been obtained for the "two Dirac's" and the uniform distributions. They are given in Table 2. The first relation maths was expected since a limited sample is unlikely to catch all the dispersion of the population (for the same reason, maths). But now, the bias depends on maths and an unbiased estimator maths cannot be obtained in a "distribution free" manner.


Tab. 2: Exact Sampling Properties

maths maths maths maths
Dirac's maths maths idem
unif. maths maths maths


The second relation shows that the uncertainty around maths decrease in maths since maths. This mimics the well known behavior of the sample estimators for both the mean and the variance. For others distributions, direct computations aren't so easy and, at the present moment, only results obtained by simulations are available.

For each maths of Table 3 and each of the four sample size maths, we have drawn maths random samples. For each sample, the quantities maths and maths have been determined. Then maths and maths have been estimated from the maths obtained values, leading to an estimation of maths. For the Gaussian, we have obtained respectively maths and have summarized the results as maths. The same has been done with maths, while the values given (in the last column) for maths are proven results. For the lognormal distributions, the results depends on the shape parameter maths (here maths has been used).


Tab. 3: Properties Obtained by Simulation

maths maths maths maths
unif. maths maths maths
gauss maths maths maths
exp maths maths maths
log maths maths maths


In any case, it appears that bias is maths i.e. is a second order effect compared to the maths uncertainty and that maths doesn't behave worse than maths.


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Previous: 3 MIN-MAX AND NEWSBOY Up: Sampling Distribution of the Next: 5 CONCLUSION   Contents


douillet@ensait.fr
2006-09-18